Verity, Amazon MGM Studios' adaptation of Colleen Hoover's psychological thriller, is tracking to open at $30 to $35 million domestically this weekend, according to industry projections. The film, directed by Michael Showalter and starring Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson, was produced for $40 million. Global tracking points toward a $55 million worldwide opening weekend, positioning it as the period's top performer.
Tom Cruise's Digger, Alejandro G. Iñárritu's disaster satire for Warner Bros., is projecting a domestic debut of $12 to $15 million, according to the studio's own estimates. Third-party tracking has placed the opening below $20 million. The film cost $125 million to produce and carries a 50 percent score on Rotten Tomatoes from 127 reviews.
The gap between the two projections is one of the more striking data points of the fall season. A $40 million adaptation of a bestselling novel appears positioned to do more than double the opening weekend of a $125 million release backed by one of Hollywood's most reliable box office draws. Hoover's work has built a sustained theatrical presence over recent years, and Verity arrives as one of her most commercially configured adaptations to date, pairing a psychological thriller premise with two high-profile leads.
For Warner Bros., the numbers land at an already difficult moment. The studio enters October ahead of the October 6 close of the Paramount merger, and its 2026 box office trajectory has provided little cushion. Digger's projected underperformance adds to that picture.
