Jessie Buckley swept Golden Globes, Critics Choice, BAFTAs, and SAG for Hamnet. No Best Actress contender this cycle has come close to that run. Chloé Zhao directed a film that lives in silence and grief, and Buckley made both feel like action.

If she wins, she becomes the first Irish-born Best Actress winner in Oscar history. The performance doesn't need the record. But the record needs the performance.